Further lockdowns are “unlikely” to be required to control the coronavirus pandemic in the UK, one of the government’s top scientific advisers has said.

It comes as the number of people in hospital with COVID-19 has fallen, and the average rate of infection has decreased.

COVID infections are widely expected to rise again in September, when school and university terms begin and more workers return to the office, but scientists are optimistic that this can be managed without some of the tough restrictions seen since the start of the pandemic.

In an interview with The Times, immunologist Professor Neil Ferguson, who was behind the first lockdown last year, predicted lockdowns probably won’t be needed again to control the virus.

“I think it is unlikely we will need a new lockdown or even social distancing measures of the type we’ve had so far.”

However, the Imperial College professor did say they could not be ruled out if new variants throw the progress off course.

The “caveat” which might change the situation is if the “virus changes substantially”, he said.

But Prof Ferguson added COVID was “going to transition quite quickly in a few months to be more something we live with and manage through vaccination rather than crisis measures”.

He said the vaccine had “dramatically changed the relationship between cases and hospitalisation”.

Euro 2020 created an “artificially inflated level of contact”, he said, leading to his predictions in July that the UK would hit 100,000 cases a day following phase four of unlocking.

After the tournament ended, cases decreased, and Prof Ferguson said the “pingdemic” also had a “reasonable effect” on making it harder for the virus to spread.

The number of COVID patients in hospital in England has dropped, with the latest figures from NHS England showing there were 4,879 patients in hospital at 8am on Friday 6 August, down 4.5% week-on-week from the 5,111 reported on Friday 30 July.

The coronavirus reproduction number, or R value, in England has fallen and is between 0.8 and 1.1, according to the latest figures.

Last week, it was between 1.1 and 1.4. R represents the average number of people each infected person goes on to infect.

Related posts:

Kent variant spreads easier but doesn’t make you sicker, say researchers ‘Am I going to die?’, injured teenager asked friend after Manchester Arena bomb blast Crowds of Rangers fans gather for title celebrations despite warnings from police More than 20 million now fully vaccinated in UK after having both COVID jabs Chelsea thrashed 4-0 by Barcelona in Women’s Champions League final Elderly woman rescued from 70ft fall after pet cat’s meows heard by passer-by Double-jabbed people no longer have to isolate after contact with positive case Battle of the exes: Snooker stars and former couple Mark Allen and Reanne Evans to face off ‘Staggering’ Omicron case numbers to hit UK in next few days, health chief warns Supreme Court rules police unlawful in decision not to investigate ‘Hooded Men’ torture claims in Northern Ireland People changed behaviour voluntarily, not because of Plan B COVID rules – SAGE scientists told Should there be a by-election in Bury South after MP defected?